dgfzseas
0x9f08197281d3fe20787465607611d774ede0b28d
- Realised P&L
- $189.07
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $339.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.245 | $339.32 | +$173.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.68at 0.838Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.48at 0.902Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.54at 0.974Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$-17.75at 0.790Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:32 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $262.69 |
| 07-02 08:49 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.906 | $106.01 |
| 06-27 12:01 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $280.44 |
| 06-27 03:54 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.902 | $333.73 |
| 05-14 12:33 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.974 | $521.09 |
| 04-13 07:12 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.838 | $553.08 |