kalcho100
0x9f0682f0fc7959ba317dfcb7aa12ff56cd596203
- Realised P&L
- $-999.77
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.32at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$230.49at 0.686Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$230.49at 0.686Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$218.77at 0.520Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
- +$207.26at 0.427Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:28 | Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2576943005 | $49.73 |
| 10-26 18:27 | Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.3315945355 | $60.68 |
| 10-26 18:26 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $490.00 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $8.09 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $10.34 |
| 09-18 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $9.87 |