0x9f02178aff21674ebe6c351ffa303c00490baed2
- Realised P&L
- $-28.75
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? · No | 0.120 | 0.105 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.030 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.62at 0.019Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$23.95at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$1.41at 0.424Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$-1.01at 0.003Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
- +$-1.01at 0.005Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |