0x9EFD52B45a4f9a15247Fb76135BbB068B5E8431F-1722520293567
0x9efd52b45a4f9a15247fb76135bbb068b5e8431f
- Realised P&L
- $-68.82
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $25.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.750 | $11.25 | +$2.70 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.590 | $8.85 | +$1.35 |
| Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.380 | $5.70 | −$2.10 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.70 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.85 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
| UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Pantoja | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.87 |
| UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dvalishvili | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.16at 0.219Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.00at 0.290Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$58.32at 0.568Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$52.72at 0.225Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?
- +$39.10at 0.233Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.081 | $4.05 |
| 10-25 13:26 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.113 | $5.65 |
| 10-23 11:16 | UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-23 11:14 | UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-23 11:14 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 10-23 11:06 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 18:21 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.405 | $14.99 |
| 07-13 18:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.211 | $20.04 |
| 07-11 13:22 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4499999906 | $12.00 |
| 07-11 13:10 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.31 | $10.85 |
| 07-11 13:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 07-11 13:07 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $8.88 |
| 07-10 13:32 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6025 | $12.05 |
| 07-10 13:30 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6025 | $18.08 |
| 12-07 05:26 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.78 | $19.50 |