PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9EFD52B45a4f9a15247Fb76135BbB068B5E8431F-1722520293567

0x9efd52b45a4f9a15247fb76135bbb068b5e8431f

Realised P&L
$-68.82
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$25.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.5700.750$11.25+$2.70
Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.5000.590$8.85+$1.35
Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.5200.380$5.70−$2.10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$9.70
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3100.000$0.00−$10.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$11.60
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Pantoja0.6700.000$0.00−$20.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3550.000$0.00−$8.87
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dvalishvili0.7800.000$0.00−$19.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 16:30Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.081$4.05
10-25 13:26Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.113$5.65
10-23 11:16UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.54$5.40
10-23 11:14UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.57$5.70
10-23 11:14UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.53$7.95
10-23 11:06UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5$15.00
07-13 18:21France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.405$14.99
07-13 18:20Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.211$20.04
07-11 13:22UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.4499999906$12.00
07-11 13:10UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.31$10.85
07-11 13:08Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.58$11.60
07-11 13:07Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.355$8.88
07-10 13:32Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6025$12.05
07-10 13:30Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6025$18.08
12-07 05:26UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.78$19.50