0x9efaf29B1256F2EE16B16C32eb8ab4aFC76a9332-1766657786265
0x9efaf29b1256f2ee16b16c32eb8ab4afc76a9332
- Realised P&L
- $-46.97
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $37.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$1.55at 0.397Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
- +$1.20at 0.627Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.13at 0.639Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.13at 0.640Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 20:40 | Will Andrew McAdorey win the 2026 PLL Midfielder of the Year? | BUY | 0.5469999212 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:40 | Will Andrew McMeekin win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 22:03 | Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 21:59 | Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 15:26 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 08:18 | Will Matt Olson lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 08:17 | Chicago White Sox winning after 5 innings? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 08:17 | Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 20:19 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.538999917 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:21 | Will Ryan Terefenko win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 09:10 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 21:23 | Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 11:04 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 11:04 | Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 19:50 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%? | BUY | 0.6259998009 | $1.00 |