0x9ef1f993efebac436a5a4e637595302f0bae9a64
0x9ef1f993efebac436a5a4e637595302f0bae9a64
- Realised P&L
- $17.58
- Volume
- $441.98
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $208.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja · Julieta Pareja | 0.500 | 1.000 | $92.55 | +$46.25 |
| Spread: Liberty (-3.5) · Liberty | 0.500 | 0.940 | $29.38 | +$13.75 |
| Blues vs. Stars · Stars | 0.500 | 0.635 | $24.42 | +$5.19 |
| Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.190 | 1.000 | $13.62 | +$11.03 |
| Medvedev vs. Struff: Match O/U 21.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.71 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Washington State (-2.5) · Washington State | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.22 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.500 | 0.535 | $7.51 | +$0.49 |
| Spread: Texas State (-7.5) · Texas State | 0.500 | 0.545 | $4.95 | +$0.41 |
| Spread: Boise State (-17.5) · Boise State | 0.500 | 0.535 | $4.86 | +$0.32 |
| Humbert vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.435 | $4.83 | −$0.72 |
| Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.425 | $4.83 | −$0.85 |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.185 | $2.60 | −$4.42 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Arthur Fery vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 23.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.12at 0.500Fenerbahce vs. FC Bayern Munchen
- +$28.28at 0.500Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
- +$17.86at 0.500Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)
- +$14.17at 0.710Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$14.13at 0.876Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:23 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.59 |
| 10-01 20:50 | Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $98.86 |
| 08-20 10:08 | Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broom | BUY | 0.4 | $4.88 |
| 08-19 18:16 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5631611284 | $8.77 |
| 08-18 21:45 | Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev | SELL | 0.998 | $49.19 |
| 08-18 19:31 | Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.7 | $34.50 |
| 08-17 22:42 | Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-17 22:40 | Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $7.80 |