2343s
0x9edbd6daa466bf55eba7e13d989acb2b2933ca76
- Realised P&L
- $92.83
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $28.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.21at 0.640Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
- +$23.96at 0.669Celtics vs. Nets
- +$19.63at 0.710Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
- +$18.67at 0.720Pistons vs. Nuggets
- +$17.91at 0.730Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 12:34 | Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.72 |
| 07-05 12:33 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 12:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.87 |
| 07-05 12:32 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $12.00 |
| 05-11 15:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 14:59 | Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 14:57 | Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.9269999226 | $11.00 |
| 03-01 17:12 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.94 |
| 03-01 17:10 | Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.94 |
| 03-01 15:56 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | SELL | 0.99 | $21.23 |
| 03-01 15:54 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.93 |
| 03-01 15:52 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.94 |
| 03-01 15:51 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.8297088186 | $19.95 |
| 03-01 15:49 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.81 | $19.93 |