admsk13
0x9ecc57fc879ba180d8376ad967fd3d3e7a5cdd93
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $26.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $876.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-36.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.777 | 0.064 | $876.30 | −$9.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.50at 0.720Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
- +$-194.71at 0.043Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 19:18 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8943842627 | $167.77 |
| 04-13 20:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.0312713769 | $43.03 |
| 04-13 20:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.0260409324 | $70.76 |