SqMoneyHunter
0x9ec7ab65b11803e1bea2c22202535ab845609a5c
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $269.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No | 0.239 | 0.185 | $555.15 | −$161.95 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.145 | $237.51 | −$48.42 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.165 | $185.85 | −$11.45 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No | 0.320 | 0.295 | $151.34 | −$12.82 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.235 | 0.205 | $123.82 | −$18.14 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $101.19 | −$2.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.95 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.56 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.30 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.03 |
| Spread: Egypt (-2.5) · Egypt | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$894.21at 0.146Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$851.52at 0.153Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$436.62at 0.065Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
- +$248.53at 0.130Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
- +$225.29at 0.593US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:19 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.00 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $34.20 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $103.25 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $69.00 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.02 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.87 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.75 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $69.85 |
| 09-08 00:36 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.16 | $25.14 |
| 09-03 16:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 08:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $47.48 |
| 08-16 17:45 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.68 |
| 08-16 17:44 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2245815314 | $17.66 |
| 08-13 17:35 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.205 | $2.05 |
| 08-13 15:59 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $8.39 |