JenniferVasquez4914
0x9ec3d9b5cf2658b9e36caf7dc000282242443adc
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $201.4k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $26.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.500 | $13.94 | −$3.90 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.029 | $8.32 | −$56.54 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.971 | $3.88 | +$1.20 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.69at 0.570Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?
- +$515.53at 0.350Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?
- +$420.00at 0.700Ethereum ETF Flows on February 23?
- +$372.12at 0.160Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?
- +$333.22at 0.500Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:46 | Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $439.83 |
| 04-27 08:58 | CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $105.84 |
| 04-27 08:57 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $102.29 |
| 04-21 10:42 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $176.18 |
| 04-21 10:41 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $245.18 |
| 04-21 10:38 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.23 |
| 04-21 08:38 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.23 |
| 04-21 03:56 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.23 |
| 04-13 15:53 | Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $795.52 |
| 04-13 13:02 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.539 | $464.08 |
| 04-13 12:48 | Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $795.52 |
| 04-13 12:23 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $521.23 |
| 04-13 09:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $54.54 |
| 04-13 09:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $247.32 |
| 04-13 05:29 | Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $331.70 |