0x9EB55A01c4E4b6761D2d40Ac8F84BBE1245ED68d-1777930853057
0x9eb55a01c4e4b6761d2d40ac8f84bbe1245ed68d
- Realised P&L
- $32.99
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $59.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.146 | $34.16 | −$0.64 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.130 | $11.42 | +$1.42 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.220 | 0.185 | $4.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $2.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.022 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.011 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.89at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$15.21at 0.001Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$8.66at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:04 | Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:03 | Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:03 | Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.0273585333 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 05:03 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.143 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 05:02 | Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.0072070773 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 07:35 | Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:46 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 11:06 | Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.0869229272 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:48 | Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.1650485418 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 07:33 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.009 | $18.00 |
| 09-19 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0406543728 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:01 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:23 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:23 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |