PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nick.crease

0x9eb511f526962935d55abf670cfc45aa27eb3253

Realised P&L
$134.45
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
409
Open portfolio
$217.49

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded409
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? · No0.8500.935$66.00+$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 24? · No0.8600.939$65.48+$5.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · No0.8490.845$59.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? · No0.8660.875$26.27+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 26? · Yes0.4030.000$0.00$6.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? · No0.7800.000$0.00$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 18? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 4? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 16? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 26? · No0.7000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 23:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.8485856905$60.00
09-23 22:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.8663333333$25.99
09-23 03:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.8499999993$60.00
09-23 01:56Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 24?BUY0.8599999983$60.00
09-21 04:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.8672536953$60.00
09-20 02:26Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21?BUY0.87$4.35
09-19 11:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.8499999993$60.00
09-19 05:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.8384767666$60.00
09-17 04:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.8699999904$60.00
09-15 18:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.7774086368$60.00
09-14 02:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15?BUY0.8628769502$60.00
09-14 01:55Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 15?BUY0.8699999993$60.00
09-13 21:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 14?BUY0.8399999983$60.00
09-13 10:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 13?BUY0.87$16.06
09-13 08:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?BUY0.8699999993$60.00