nick.crease
0x9eb511f526962935d55abf670cfc45aa27eb3253
- Realised P&L
- $134.45
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $217.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.00at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?
- +$24.91at 0.671Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 29?
- +$23.68at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?
- +$21.38at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 2?
- +$16.51at 0.786Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8485856905 | $60.00 |
| 09-23 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8663333333 | $25.99 |
| 09-23 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8499999993 | $60.00 |
| 09-23 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $60.00 |
| 09-21 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8672536953 | $60.00 |
| 09-20 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-19 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8499999993 | $60.00 |
| 09-19 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8384767666 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $60.00 |
| 09-15 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7774086368 | $60.00 |
| 09-14 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.8628769502 | $60.00 |
| 09-14 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $60.00 |
| 09-13 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $60.00 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.87 | $16.06 |
| 09-13 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $60.00 |