alvaro25011
0x9eae9dc70a6eb5c831a0ac96931c8488431598a5
- Realised P&L
- $-18.0k
- Volume
- $1.33M
- Markets traded
- 8,108
- Open portfolio
- $37.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,108
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.800 | 0.815 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Latvia win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.800 | 0.815 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.810 | 0.825 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Sweden vs. Romania: Sweden O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.900 | 0.900 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.725 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Türkiye vs. France: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.860 | 0.845 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.820 | 0.795 | $2.91 | −$0.09 |
| Montenegro vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.725 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.760 | 0.775 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.800 | 0.815 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.900 | 0.915 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.920 | 0.925 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.850 | 0.845 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.710 | 0.705 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.668Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?
- +$843.87at 0.485Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?
- +$635.67at 0.536Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$620.02at 0.905Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?
- +$593.73at 0.901Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:35 | Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:35 | Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:34 | Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8199999071 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 06:34 | Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:34 | Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:33 | Montenegro vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 06:33 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 06:33 | Sweden vs. Romania: Sweden O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 06:32 | Sweden vs. Romania: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:32 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 06:32 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 06:31 | Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:31 | Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:31 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:30 | Türkiye vs. France: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |