jessicakeller
0x9eae34e938c2030e7078c7addad3f6dd62ad1415
- Realised P&L
- $-24.85
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $17.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.810 | $17.81 | +$4.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.60at 0.680Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.33at 0.500Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$0.78at 0.978Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.35at 0.990Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.15at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:25 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.33 |
| 01-30 15:53 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.33 |
| 01-30 13:08 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.43 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.20 |
| 12-30 08:43 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999673 | $8.91 |
| 12-29 21:10 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.77 |
| 12-29 20:44 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $25.18 |
| 12-29 20:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.31 |
| 12-29 20:11 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.92 |
| 10-31 15:29 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.44 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.77 |
| 09-29 15:11 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.95 |
| 09-29 02:56 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9946320919 | $19.33 |
| 09-29 01:26 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.81 |
| 09-28 22:08 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.90 |