0x5ghfjtr
0x9e9f985e7fb9d9d0380f153bd942825da063c17c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $2.35M
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $5.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.038 | $5.06 | −$18.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.076Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?
- +$5.5kat 0.031Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
- +$2.9kat 0.031Will the next Pope be from North America?
- +$2.0kat 0.294Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?
- +$1.1kat 0.075Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 18:57 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0151092175 | $44.41 |
| 09-06 18:27 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 09-06 18:22 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.09 | $102.52 |
| 09-06 18:12 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.06 | $145.16 |
| 09-06 17:31 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.183 | $4.17 |
| 09-06 17:14 | Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.17 | $42.50 |
| 09-06 17:08 | Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 09-06 17:06 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.24 | $114.39 |
| 09-06 17:05 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.19 | $84.29 |
| 09-06 17:04 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.176875 | $56.60 |
| 09-06 17:02 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1786 | $8.93 |
| 09-06 16:52 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1675425585 | $10.10 |
| 09-06 16:52 | Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.01 |
| 09-06 16:42 | Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.00 |
| 09-06 16:42 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2684678969 | $106.21 |