hestin
0x9e9c88a80a244bd5cc07318d7b3834284c9fa255
- Realised P&L
- $-1.43
- Volume
- $401.56
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $4.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.44at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 28?
- +$4.25at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?
- +$-1.00at 0.200Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26?
- +$-1.02at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 26?
- +$-1.02at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.96 |
| 09-28 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0091039028 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-26 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |