PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hestin

0x9e9c88a80a244bd5cc07318d7b3834284c9fa255

Realised P&L
$-1.43
Volume
$401.56
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$4.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.2$1.00
09-28 11:42Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.08$0.96
09-28 11:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 28?BUY0.2$1.00
09-27 15:57Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27?BUY0.2$1.00
09-27 12:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 28?BUY0.0091039028$1.00
09-26 12:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 26?BUY0.1$0.50
09-26 11:34Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 26?BUY0.11$1.00
09-26 11:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 26?BUY0.04$0.40