rich8888168
0x9e9422d994f16b228087396145a7a534bff68953
- Realised P&L
- $-265.99
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $329.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $304.47 | −$1.22 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.91at 0.991Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.952Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$4.68at 0.979Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.67at 0.994Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?
- +$4.26at 0.973Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:53 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 15:52 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $305.69 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 05:33 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $135.32 |
| 09-14 08:56 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 09-14 08:41 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $82.84 |
| 09-14 08:39 | Will Solana dip to $30 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-07 07:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $307.69 |
| 09-07 07:02 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-04 23:55 | Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $211.79 |
| 09-04 23:54 | Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 09-02 08:35 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $213.00 |