PolyBot

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Traders

Hillbilyy

0x9e83302071a0c2d2e243129a3000b72ae315593d

Realised P&L
$793.98
Volume
$228.2k
Markets traded
4,707
Open portfolio
$756.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,707
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? · No0.9871.000$60.46+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? · No0.9970.999$60.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 28? · No0.9971.000$50.12+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on September 28? · No0.9970.999$50.07+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 28? · No0.9971.000$40.10+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on September 29? · No0.9970.999$40.10+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 28? · No0.9961.000$40.10+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on September 28? · No0.9960.998$40.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 29? · No0.9970.999$40.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 28? · No0.9970.995$39.92−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? · No0.9970.994$39.88−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 28? · No0.9970.993$39.82−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? · No0.9930.987$39.74−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 28? · No0.9951.000$36.02+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 28? · No0.9911.000$35.29+$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:26Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 27?BUY0.997$9.75
09-27 14:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.997$60.00
09-27 13:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 28?BUY0.997$40.00
09-27 02:17Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 27?BUY0.994$35.00
09-26 23:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.997$34.99
09-26 21:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27?BUY0.997$40.00
09-26 15:18Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 27?BUY0.997$39.88
09-26 08:07Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 26?BUY0.997$34.99
09-26 06:59Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 27?BUY0.99$9.90
09-26 06:21Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26?BUY0.98$25.26
09-26 06:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.997$40.00
09-26 05:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26?BUY0.997$40.00
09-26 00:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26?BUY0.993$5.11
09-25 23:18Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.994$4.74
09-25 22:54Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 26?BUY0.997$40.00