PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nik-

0x9e8077593bf0a6fd63f988dcf589f7558897f694

Realised P&L
$22.5k
Volume
$14.09M
Markets traded
2,433
Open portfolio
$53.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,433
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9930.991$17.8k−$45.00
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9231.000$11.6k+$881.93
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.969$10.5k+$146.75
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9720.927$7.0k−$335.07
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.3080.810$1.3k+$819.08
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7910.444$1.2k−$944.72
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9580.963$973.91+$4.27
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7880.865$928.50+$82.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.9570.935$748.00−$17.87
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5220.825$548.29+$201.33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7300.670$335.00−$30.00
Over $250k committed to the over.computer public sale? · Yes0.7500.884$176.80+$26.80
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.7780.753$150.94−$5.09
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.9500.955$57.30+$0.30
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2600.605$38.67+$22.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:10Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.989$2.3k
10-31 18:20Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9545980493$1.5k
10-31 17:56Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.957334875$765.87
10-31 16:48Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8938309859$317.31
10-31 12:29Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.993$3.0k
10-31 07:56Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.95$52.25
10-30 15:59Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.99$549.36
10-30 15:59Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.99$3.0k
10-30 15:59Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.9758721333$2.9k
10-30 15:57Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.55$5.50
10-30 15:56Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?SELL0.73$29.19
10-30 15:54Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.99$3.1k
10-30 15:53Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.96$8.35
10-30 15:49Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.85$172.00
10-30 15:48Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.84$125.73