PolyBot

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Traders

nathanaisocrates

0x9e78797c409a28a6846f7ef5ec2769cd8ca3a38c

Realised P&L
$310.44
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$119.99

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat? · No0.9840.985$59.07+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No0.9730.977$46.91+$0.17
Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat? · No0.9750.976$14.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-02 07:05Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?BUY0.45$423.00
09-01 11:05Marlins vs. NationalsBUY0.53$15.90
08-27 07:32Phillies vs. MetsBUY0.42$427.98
08-20 12:25Blue Jays vs. PiratesBUY0.4$466.80
08-12 05:17Marlins vs. GuardiansBUY0.58$596.24
08-05 13:11Giants vs. PiratesBUY0.42$201.18
07-31 10:34IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus VincereBUY0.43$65.79
05-15 08:49Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?BUY0.74$1.0k