0x9E6Df3531bF2A2cc3aa93CCa60e819D9E46Ed521-1750794172336
0x9e6df3531bf2a2cc3aa93cca60e819d9e46ed521
- Realised P&L
- $180.76
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $9.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.112 | $9.16 | −$5.84 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.004 | $0.61 | −$4.39 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026? · No | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.105Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
- +$100.11at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$78.49at 0.205Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$55.98at 0.150Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$20.91at 0.331Norway to score first vs. England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:07 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6569997812 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.89 |
| 09-22 14:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.0775536433 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 13:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.0514744832 | $3.56 |
| 09-22 12:45 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1590184778 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 21:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.019870125 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 09:05 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1833092123 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 09:04 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0369999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 19:34 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0107118182 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.262 | $1.31 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.722 | $7.22 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 21:33 | Norway to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 19:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.813 | $4.06 |