robertsstacy
0x9e6c2d980ac00bcc9e861641e973c84f95e47eaf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.42
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $20.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22? · Yes | 0.383 | 1.000 | $7.62 | +$4.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $5.53 | +$1.49 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No | 0.420 | 0.505 | $3.79 | +$0.64 |
| Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.670 | $3.57 | +$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.60at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?
- +$15.05at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
- +$14.73at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 31?
- +$11.67at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?
- +$11.50at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:41 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.15 |
| 09-22 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.3834343241 | $2.92 |
| 09-18 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.03 |
| 09-18 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999783 | $4.04 |
| 09-16 15:08 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend | BUY | 0.7199999441 | $3.09 |
| 09-16 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4160966481 | $5.33 |
| 09-14 12:10 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.5699999288 | $3.04 |
| 09-14 11:45 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.4499999791 | $8.60 |
| 09-09 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.8533693044 | $12.87 |
| 09-06 08:22 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5099999371 | $3.89 |
| 09-06 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $21.12 |
| 09-02 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.7240101962 | $22.41 |
| 08-31 06:05 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.3899999566 | $4.76 |
| 08-31 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.5001587827 | $15.12 |
| 08-27 23:25 | Rams vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.6099999862 | $15.50 |