PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e6B7c77C06ebdBF2993BE0BA1d02F785E6fb20a-1772834751084

0x9e6b7c77c06ebdbf2993be0ba1d02f785e6fb20a

Realised P&L
$-49.46
Volume
$42.0k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$55.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0410.017$12.04−$17.96
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.050$10.45−$18.81
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0800.021$7.88−$22.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$7.66−$43.34
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.030$7.49−$25.51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.024$4.70−$15.30
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0970.043$3.60−$4.40
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.5980.185$1.55−$3.45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0100.011$0.57+$0.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 15:28Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$3.18
04-16 16:40Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$10.00
04-16 16:39Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1237201488$10.31
04-14 19:54Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.18$13.91
04-14 19:54Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$12.08
04-14 18:59Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2369999949$30.00
04-14 18:55Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.38$3.87
04-12 17:13Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
04-12 16:57Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.10
04-12 16:55Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.01$0.10
04-11 12:09Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.014$0.38
04-09 09:40Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.705$5.99
04-09 09:38Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.6$5.77
04-08 21:15Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.495000005$50.00
04-08 21:02Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.699999972$5.00