0x9e6B7c77C06ebdBF2993BE0BA1d02F785E6fb20a-1772834751084
0x9e6b7c77c06ebdbf2993be0ba1d02f785e6fb20a
- Realised P&L
- $-200.37
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $55.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.98at 0.073Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$97.06at 0.340Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$13.40at 0.539Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$9.52at 0.033Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.48at 0.627Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 15:28 | Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.18 |
| 04-16 16:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 16:39 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1237201488 | $10.31 |
| 04-14 19:54 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.18 | $13.91 |
| 04-14 19:54 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $12.08 |
| 04-14 18:59 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.2369999949 | $30.00 |
| 04-14 18:55 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.87 |
| 04-12 17:13 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-12 16:57 | Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 04-12 16:55 | Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-11 12:09 | Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.38 |
| 04-09 09:40 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.705 | $5.99 |
| 04-09 09:38 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.77 |
| 04-08 21:15 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.495000005 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 21:02 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |