PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e6B7c77C06ebdBF2993BE0BA1d02F785E6fb20a-1772834751084

0x9e6b7c77c06ebdbf2993be0ba1d02f785e6fb20a

Realised P&L
$-200.37
Volume
$42.0k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$55.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.038$10.35$40.65
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0410.014$10.21$19.79
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes0.1400.047$9.83$19.44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.025$6.11$26.89
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.030$6.10$13.90
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0800.016$6.00$24.00
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0970.049$4.06$3.94
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.5980.185$1.55$3.45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0100.018$0.93+$0.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.10
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$30.00
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.10
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 15:28Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$3.18
04-16 16:40Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$10.00
04-16 16:39Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1237201488$10.31
04-14 19:54Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.18$13.91
04-14 19:54Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?SELL0.26$12.08
04-14 18:59Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2369999949$30.00
04-14 18:55Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.38$3.87
04-12 17:13Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
04-12 16:57Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.10
04-12 16:55Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.01$0.10
04-11 12:09Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.014$0.38
04-09 09:40Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.705$5.99
04-09 09:38Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.6$5.77
04-08 21:15Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.495000005$50.00
04-08 21:02Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.699999972$5.00