PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e665b2470725d8f9060ab36336c343695a4cab3

Realised P&L
$6.48
Volume
$268.36
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$43.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20? · No0.7800.860$4.28+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? · No0.6870.665$4.26$0.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20? · No0.7140.845$2.60+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? · No0.5900.675$2.52+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · No0.7700.540$2.31$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? · No0.7800.760$2.14$0.06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 19? · No0.7950.765$2.12$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19? · No0.5700.525$2.03$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.5601.000$1.96+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · No0.6300.820$1.43+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20? · No0.6900.845$1.35+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? · No0.6000.705$1.29+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19? · No0.6700.765$1.26+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? · No0.7900.880$1.23+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? · No0.7500.830$1.22+$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20?BUY0.6099998946$1.10
09-18 22:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.5699998705$1.10
09-18 21:46Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?BUY0.5899999303$1.10
09-18 21:39Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 19?BUY0.7899998851$1.10
09-18 21:33Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.2999999727$1.10
09-18 21:33Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 19?BUY0.8$1.10
09-18 21:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6799998269$1.10
09-18 20:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.6299999084$1.10
09-18 18:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6899999561$1.10
09-18 18:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.16$1.10
09-18 18:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?BUY0.5899999303$1.10
09-18 17:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6899999561$1.10
09-18 17:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6899999561$1.10
09-18 17:21Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.5599999185$1.10
09-18 17:19Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.5799999156$1.10