PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x9e56391f1589c60c81e3af247da71aa1246f4199

Realised P&L
$8.4k
Volume
$763.4k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$23.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0580.131$23.9k+$13.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 00:47Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1329999998$79.11
08-07 00:09Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.104$543.30
04-08 10:54Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0553626247$162.77
04-01 10:25Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0619279162$3.1k
03-31 09:05Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0634198074$12.84
03-31 09:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0632812065$418.88
03-30 00:33Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.060319854$22.15
03-29 23:51Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0574296455$13.37
03-24 01:15Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.048$960.00
03-19 06:27Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0478730826$2.7k
03-16 05:57Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0499823745$70.89
03-16 05:57Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0489638044$108.02
02-27 03:47Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.0037376362$9.06
02-26 11:29Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.4500187622$947.42
02-26 07:12Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9813564369$2.0k