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0x9e56391f1589c60c81e3af247da71aa1246f4199
- Realised P&L
- $8.4k
- Volume
- $763.4k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $23.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.131 | $23.9k | +$13.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.518Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.758Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
- +$4.5kat 0.356LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$3.3kat 0.145Swell airdrop by September 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.633Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 00:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1329999998 | $79.11 |
| 08-07 00:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.104 | $543.30 |
| 04-08 10:54 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0553626247 | $162.77 |
| 04-01 10:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0619279162 | $3.1k |
| 03-31 09:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0634198074 | $12.84 |
| 03-31 09:04 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0632812065 | $418.88 |
| 03-30 00:33 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.060319854 | $22.15 |
| 03-29 23:51 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0574296455 | $13.37 |
| 03-24 01:15 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.048 | $960.00 |
| 03-19 06:27 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0478730826 | $2.7k |
| 03-16 05:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0499823745 | $70.89 |
| 03-16 05:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0489638044 | $108.02 |
| 02-27 03:47 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | SELL | 0.0037376362 | $9.06 |
| 02-26 11:29 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.4500187622 | $947.42 |
| 02-26 07:12 | Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.9813564369 | $2.0k |