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0x9e56391f1589c60c81e3af247da71aa1246f4199
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $855.1k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $40.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.126 | $33.3k | +$11.8k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.660 | 0.715 | $7.2k | +$550.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.518Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.758Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
- +$4.5kat 0.356LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$3.3kat 0.145Swell airdrop by September 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.633Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 01:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $6.6k |
| 10-20 10:58 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.131 | $2.6k |
| 10-13 01:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.131 | $1.3k |
| 10-10 07:43 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.132 | $1.2k |
| 10-07 06:06 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.132 | $66.06 |
| 10-04 06:26 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.132 | $1.7k |
| 09-28 22:06 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.132 | $909.96 |
| 09-27 23:24 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.131 | $468.78 |
| 09-14 00:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1329999998 | $79.11 |
| 08-07 00:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.104 | $543.30 |
| 04-08 10:54 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0553626247 | $162.77 |
| 04-01 10:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0619279162 | $3.1k |
| 03-31 09:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0634198074 | $12.84 |
| 03-31 09:04 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0632812065 | $418.88 |
| 03-30 00:33 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.060319854 | $22.15 |