0x9e4ADB45D6AFE1A69F26fB0eA17B680b8B1ad17B-1760304040047
0x9e4adb45d6afe1a69f26fb0ea17b680b8b1ad17b
- Realised P&L
- $-17.29
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $0.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.76at 0.019Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$5.34at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$5.29at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$4.89at 0.173Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$3.49at 0.632Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:15 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:28 | Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:28 | Will NK Maribor win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:28 | Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:52 | Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.33 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:28 | Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:13 | Will Aluminij Kidricevo win on 2026-09-02? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:12 | Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-02? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:12 | Will Aluminij Kidricevo vs. NK Celje end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 17:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 17:56 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4609998359 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.4025 | $0.99 |
| 07-19 19:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949998542 | $1.00 |