PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e4ADB45D6AFE1A69F26fB0eA17B680b8B1ad17B-1760304040047

0x9e4adb45d6afe1a69f26fb0ea17b680b8b1ad17b

Realised P&L
$-17.29
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$0.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? · Yes0.6100.575$0.94$0.06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00$1.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$1.00
Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$5.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:15CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-16 17:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-12 17:28Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-12 17:28Will NK Maribor win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-12 17:28Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-10 19:52Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?SELL0.36$1.33
09-10 18:32Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-10 18:28Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-02 19:13Will Aluminij Kidricevo win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
09-02 19:12Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
09-02 19:12Will Aluminij Kidricevo vs. NK Celje end in a draw?BUY0.4$1.00
08-31 17:51Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.16$1.00
07-23 17:56Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4609998359$1.00
07-19 19:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.4025$0.99
07-19 19:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5949998542$1.00