thankyoupredict
0x9e499f4477eb5714836c0a7c5394c9e83eead3d8
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $171.2k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$980.46at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET
- +$861.38at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$810.06at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$740.99at 0.430LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 09:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9579286578 | $1.9k |
| 10-21 09:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8790414491 | $1.1k |
| 10-21 09:29 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2979096726 | $1.3k |
| 10-21 09:29 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.398756654 | $524.37 |
| 08-30 06:59 | BNB Up or Down - August 30, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.23628 | $36.92 |
| 08-30 06:59 | BNB Up or Down - August 30, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.1905259146 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 10:57 | BNB Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.1972972973 | $36.50 |
| 08-18 10:57 | BNB Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.0980274914 | $22.82 |
| 08-16 09:58 | BNB Up or Down - August 16, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.3580899211 | $24.05 |
| 08-15 10:59 | BNB Up or Down - August 15, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.1257558876 | $19.86 |
| 08-11 21:59 | BNB Up or Down - August 11, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.4193534002 | $45.14 |
| 08-02 20:59 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.089 | $4.45 |
| 08-02 20:58 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.0951535954 | $15.18 |
| 08-02 20:58 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.0445335918 | $13.90 |
| 07-31 12:57 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | BUY | 0.11 | $254.42 |