gafcx
0x9e46708d8594ec8ffda4cf16c4f04d30184a5e64
- Realised P&L
- $118.07
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $67.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $49.99 | +$0.43 |
| Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.940 | $17.36 | −$0.64 |
| Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group A · BOOM Esports | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.45at 0.510Capitals vs. Red Wings
- +$0.44at 0.760Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squire
- +$0.06at 0.969No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.05at 0.994Will Tesla reach $645 in January?
- +$0.04at 0.992US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:34 | Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squire | BUY | 0.7599999783 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 08:33 | Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9745856243 | $18.00 |
| 07-09 16:26 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9909999973 | $1.49 |
| 07-09 16:26 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9689999537 | $1.82 |
| 07-09 16:25 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.82 |
| 07-09 16:25 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.82 |
| 07-09 16:25 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.88 |
| 07-09 16:25 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.80 |
| 07-09 16:24 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.75 |
| 07-09 16:24 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.77 |
| 07-09 16:24 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.72 |
| 07-09 16:24 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.77 |
| 07-09 16:24 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.70 |
| 07-07 14:35 | Will Solana reach $85 on July 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.72 |
| 07-07 14:35 | Will Solana reach $90 on July 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.78 |