7418399
0x9e42308e7d732aa04209fdc070e8bd779d5e1b36
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $170.9k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.345 | $1.8k | +$60.04 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.627 | 0.565 | $1.1k | −$117.16 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? · No | 0.835 | 0.880 | $857.12 | +$43.60 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · No | 0.772 | 0.725 | $783.73 | −$51.37 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? · No | 0.895 | 0.980 | $710.50 | +$61.91 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.065 | $210.32 | −$558.32 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? · No | 0.840 | 0.890 | $89.01 | +$5.00 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? · No | 0.830 | 0.825 | $82.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? · No | 0.900 | 0.870 | $52.10 | −$1.80 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September? · No | 0.920 | 0.927 | $25.03 | +$0.19 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September? · No | 0.920 | 0.998 | $19.95 | +$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.420Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$967.88at 0.646Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
- +$769.44at 0.427Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$480.43at 0.759Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$427.19at 0.184Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:33 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-29 17:42 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.39 |
| 09-23 17:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 09-23 09:06 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 09-22 09:55 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.62 | $148.80 |
| 09-22 08:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $235.20 |
| 09-22 08:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-21 14:43 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-19 08:49 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $57.60 |
| 09-19 05:20 | Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-19 01:10 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $82.80 |
| 09-19 00:31 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.70 |
| 09-18 03:47 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | BUY | 0.9178 | $45.89 |
| 09-17 10:00 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-17 09:17 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |