PaulMcc
0x9e2ee95aaf09c2714dff018a3c68f0115523f663
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $49.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $388.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.982 | $263.84 | +$13.84 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.046 | $124.32 | −$1.9k |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$767.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.587Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.3kat 0.667Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$1.1kat 0.400Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$758.56at 0.724Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
- +$691.48at 0.686Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 16:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.5k |
| 06-18 13:29 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.0k |
| 06-17 17:22 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5799999999 | $3.0k |
| 06-16 18:33 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.5k |
| 05-27 21:25 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999971 | $250.00 |
| 05-25 15:00 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.3933381503 | $733.00 |
| 05-25 15:00 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.4099340897 | $767.00 |
| 05-24 14:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.3222508409 | $1.5k |
| 05-24 13:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4434708452 | $2.0k |
| 05-24 13:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.583556575 | $2.3k |
| 05-24 10:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.9648068096 | $700.00 |
| 05-24 10:37 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.0k |
| 05-24 10:35 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 05-24 09:45 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs | BUY | 0.7179991142 | $2.0k |
| 05-24 09:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.0k |