0x9e2e70ef692a561f49a44fce57b055198c382e52
0x9e2e70ef692a561f49a44fce57b055198c382e52
- Realised P&L
- $394.88
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $189.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? · No | 0.055 | 0.059 | $74.25 | +$4.95 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.047 | $59.32 | −$33.75 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.024 | $55.75 | −$37.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1PM ET · Down | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET · Up | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.68 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET · Up | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.54at 0.212Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$287.24at 0.136Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.1265436344 | $46.68 |
| 11-01 04:58 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.0550697534 | $69.30 |
| 10-27 00:36 | Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0391440957 | $92.87 |
| 10-27 00:33 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0737388275 | $93.07 |
| 10-13 14:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $43.21 |
| 10-11 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0939637827 | $4.67 |
| 10-10 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.2687878788 | $44.35 |
| 10-10 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.1170712508 | $46.68 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1039999998 | $43.33 |
| 10-08 17:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.3019999966 | $18.88 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 17:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1009999999 | $83.88 |
| 10-08 17:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.104 | $0.52 |
| 10-08 16:36 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.2032427572 | $102.76 |