xiaoyue2026
0x9e10565855c0167457aafa4a05b6fe1bd51bc799
- Realised P&L
- $601.88
- Volume
- $111.2k
- Markets traded
- 509
- Open portfolio
- $112.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded509
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.360 | 0.665 | $99.75 | +$45.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.275 | $13.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.41at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET
- +$434.02at 0.381Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12PM ET
- +$318.94at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20?
- +$262.50at 0.435Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$219.85at 0.329Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.9269748 | $185.39 |
| 08-03 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4511709 | $90.23 |
| 08-03 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.0746105 | $14.92 |
| 08-03 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 08-03 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.26 | $39.00 |
| 08-02 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $49.49 |
| 08-02 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $439.72 |
| 08-02 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $499.48 |
| 08-01 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-01 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.0148897304 | $11.17 |