PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MichaelBlack28

0x9e0c569b2746b09b0d37089572a3155c342d6558

Realised P&L
$3.78
Volume
$686.94
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$17.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.9200.935$4.67+$0.07
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? · No0.8600.875$4.38+$0.07
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.6900.675$3.38$0.07
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.3600.365$1.82+$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.3600.340$1.70$0.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2300.305$1.52+$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:46SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?BUY0.86$4.30
09-15 21:16Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.69$3.45
09-15 11:53Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.75$3.75
09-15 11:49Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.29$1.45
09-13 17:11Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.36$1.80
09-13 13:30Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.22$1.10
09-13 13:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?SELL0.21$1.05
09-13 06:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.23$1.15
09-11 15:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$1.65
09-11 12:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$1.80
09-10 21:57Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.23$1.15
09-10 21:17Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?BUY0.92$4.60
09-10 14:51Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.25$1.25
09-10 14:49Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.36$1.80
09-10 14:49Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.28$1.40