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0x9e03df718d14db9114d517d6b3e563c0b11cb1d0
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $139.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $243.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.170 | $243.95 | −$200.90 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$704.00 |
| Knicks vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.00 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$435.00 |
| Bulls vs. Celtics · Bulls | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.450Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
- +$3.0kat 0.500Solana Up or Down on January 11?
- +$480.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on January 11?
- +$119.87at 0.370US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$29.13at 0.410Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:41 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $0.44 |
| 07-03 06:36 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $19.53 |
| 07-03 06:36 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $18.90 |
| 07-03 06:35 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $17.64 |
| 07-03 06:35 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $17.01 |
| 07-03 06:34 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $16.70 |
| 07-03 06:34 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $16.38 |
| 06-30 02:14 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $20.16 |
| 06-30 02:14 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $19.53 |
| 06-30 02:13 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0629768667 | $18.89 |
| 06-30 02:13 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $13.23 |
| 06-30 02:11 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $17.64 |
| 06-30 02:04 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $16.70 |
| 06-30 01:59 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $16.38 |
| 06-30 01:59 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $15.75 |