PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

xfghndf

0x9e03df718d14db9114d517d6b3e563c0b11cb1d0

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$139.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$243.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.3100.170$243.95$200.90
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00$704.00
Knicks vs. Bucks · Bucks0.3100.000$0.00$155.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$435.00
Bulls vs. Celtics · Bulls0.3600.000$0.00$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 06:41Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$0.44
07-03 06:36Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$19.53
07-03 06:36Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$18.90
07-03 06:35Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$17.64
07-03 06:35Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$17.01
07-03 06:34Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$16.70
07-03 06:34Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063$16.38
06-30 02:14Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$20.16
06-30 02:14Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$19.53
06-30 02:13Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0629768667$18.89
06-30 02:13Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$13.23
06-30 02:11Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$17.64
06-30 02:04Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$16.70
06-30 01:59Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$16.38
06-30 01:59Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.063$15.75