trytobelucky
0x9dfaf795d44c4984918f12dba954875ed8083d6c
- Realised P&L
- $-330.51
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.32at 0.431Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 20?
- +$51.20at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 16?
- +$48.87at 0.867Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 28?
- +$47.12at 0.671Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 9?
- +$38.55at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-05 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-05 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-05 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.79 |
| 10-05 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.74 |
| 10-04 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.59 | $6.77 |
| 10-04 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.20 |
| 10-04 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $11.46 |
| 10-04 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 10-04 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.91 |
| 10-04 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-03 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.965 | $14.47 |
| 10-03 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.07 |
| 10-03 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 10-03 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |