0x9df803aceb30082eaced7036aad42a627f748206
- Realised P&L
- $-70.47
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $91.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.460 | 1.000 | $6.59 | +$3.56 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.460 | 1.000 | $6.59 | +$3.56 |
| San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants · San Diego Padres | 0.490 | 1.000 | $6.19 | +$3.16 |
| New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.290 | 1.000 | $6.13 | +$4.35 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.520 | 1.000 | $5.83 | +$2.80 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves | 0.560 | 1.000 | $5.41 | +$2.38 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.560 | 1.000 | $5.41 | +$2.38 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.590 | 1.000 | $5.13 | +$2.10 |
| Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.590 | 1.000 | $5.08 | +$2.08 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Detroit Tigers | 0.680 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.60 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.640 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.80 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.730 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.35 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals · Cleveland Guardians | 0.850 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.75 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Cincinnati Reds | 0.830 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.85 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.850 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.31at 0.132Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$110.90at 0.007Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
- +$57.80at 0.210Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
- +$28.78at 0.410Flyers vs. Ducks
- +$28.17at 0.470Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 18:49 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.56 | $3.03 |
| 05-18 18:49 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4 | $3.04 |
| 05-13 20:57 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.46 | $3.03 |
| 05-12 18:03 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.49 | $3.04 |
| 05-11 22:41 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.42 | $3.04 |
| 05-11 20:09 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.41 | $3.04 |
| 05-11 18:03 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.46 | $3.03 |
| 05-10 16:33 | Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.42 | $3.04 |
| 05-09 20:03 | Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.48 | $3.03 |
| 05-08 20:36 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.59 | $3.03 |
| 05-08 20:18 | Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.43 | $3.04 |
| 05-08 19:49 | Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.57 | $3.03 |
| 05-08 18:43 | Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.54 | $3.03 |
| 05-06 22:13 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.45 | $3.03 |
| 05-06 19:49 | Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.41 | $3.04 |