PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

novice99

0x9df5166f93d6a65ac3c3428d8644b2e7175361e1

Realised P&L
$-747.2k
Volume
$9.26M
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$70.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:14Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1461950179$549.97
07-26 13:50Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0076269924$771.17
07-25 11:58Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.083765971$126.66
07-25 11:58Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0789014529$930.83
07-25 11:58Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0705359472$4.7k
07-25 11:57Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.998$654.01
07-17 21:13Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$1.1k
07-17 21:12Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0071895549$2.8k
07-17 21:12Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$33.37
07-17 21:12Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$837.26
07-09 16:34Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.2262445421$139.59
07-09 16:33Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.2219486945$203.93
07-09 16:32Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.2198596474$156.76
07-09 16:28Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.2218169738$468.23
07-08 00:31Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.5076246581$4.1k