novice99
0x9df5166f93d6a65ac3c3428d8644b2e7175361e1
- Realised P&L
- $-747.2k
- Volume
- $9.26M
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $70.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.82at 0.600Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$-7.0kat 0.009Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-131.1kat 0.516Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:14 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1461950179 | $549.97 |
| 07-26 13:50 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0076269924 | $771.17 |
| 07-25 11:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.083765971 | $126.66 |
| 07-25 11:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0789014529 | $930.83 |
| 07-25 11:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0705359472 | $4.7k |
| 07-25 11:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.998 | $654.01 |
| 07-17 21:13 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.1k |
| 07-17 21:12 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0071895549 | $2.8k |
| 07-17 21:12 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $33.37 |
| 07-17 21:12 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $837.26 |
| 07-09 16:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2262445421 | $139.59 |
| 07-09 16:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2219486945 | $203.93 |
| 07-09 16:32 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2198596474 | $156.76 |
| 07-09 16:28 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2218169738 | $468.23 |
| 07-08 00:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5076246581 | $4.1k |