tomhuaite
0x9df318399307c6c34f581e35fa0d8007e4f6c32c
- Realised P&L
- $10.88
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $780.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.992 | $354.96 | +$2.69 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.975 | $271.89 | −$0.42 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August? · No | 0.991 | 0.629 | $132.88 | −$76.34 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.09 |
| Will Solana dip to $10 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.36at 0.940Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.89at 0.980Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$9.36at 0.969US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
- +$8.67at 0.968Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of June?
- +$6.61at 0.976Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:12 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $209.22 |
| 08-03 06:01 | Will Solana dip to $10 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 05:58 | Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-26 09:42 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $269.00 |
| 07-26 09:35 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $218.34 |
| 07-26 09:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $352.27 |
| 07-21 15:07 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $825.17 |
| 07-14 07:33 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.88 |
| 07-14 07:33 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.34 |
| 07-14 07:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 13 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 07-14 07:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 13 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-14 07:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-14 07:29 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $292.71 |
| 07-08 07:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $35 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-08 07:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |