tomhuaite
0x9df318399307c6c34f581e35fa0d8007e4f6c32c
- Realised P&L
- $103.89
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $665.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $351.24 | −$1.41 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $199.20 | −$0.40 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.962 | $115.37 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.82at 0.942Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.46at 0.981Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$9.36at 0.969US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
- +$8.67at 0.968Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of June?
- +$6.70at 0.976Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:16 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $115.19 |
| 10-10 14:01 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 10-10 13:32 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $352.65 |
| 10-10 12:16 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 09-21 06:56 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $109.12 |
| 09-21 06:51 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $186.87 |
| 09-14 09:45 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $140? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-12 00:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $142.05 |
| 09-12 00:12 | Will XRP reach $2.00 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-06 01:54 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 09-06 01:53 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $168.83 |
| 09-02 07:11 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $82.83 |
| 09-02 07:09 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-02 07:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.96 |
| 09-02 07:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |