0x9dEbcd0DebC9f579afc3cb2358Fc271DfAF88108-1729209172914
0x9debcd0debc9f579afc3cb2358fc271dfaf88108
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $394.7k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.296Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$786.14at 0.276Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$752.31at 0.249Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$385.71at 0.280Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$302.58at 0.062Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 05:06 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $310.00 |
| 09-15 00:10 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $300.00 |
| 08-25 02:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.1469999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 02:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0188855532 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $25.00 |
| 08-25 02:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |
| 08-25 02:34 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.5394423792 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 01:19 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $250.00 |
| 08-03 21:21 | Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.8355964069 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 21:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.540227288 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 02:11 | Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9367658063 | $200.00 |
| 06-03 02:11 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1797124573 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 15:15 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0873897551 | $118.26 |
| 05-12 15:05 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2529209429 | $100.00 |