PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9dEbcd0DebC9f579afc3cb2358Fc271DfAF88108-1729209172914

0x9debcd0debc9f579afc3cb2358fc271dfaf88108

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$394.7k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.6270.900$502.66+$152.66
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.2400.165$213.13−$96.87
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5400.885$163.82+$63.82
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? · No0.8360.910$108.90+$8.90
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2700.032$23.33−$176.67
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.025$6.65−$53.35
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2520.032$6.25−$43.75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.2590.000$0.00−$121.00
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$50.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$100.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 05:06Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.2399999999$310.00
09-15 00:10Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.5499999995$300.00
08-25 02:40Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?BUY0.1469999977$50.00
08-25 02:40Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.0188855532$50.00
08-25 02:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.5899999953$25.00
08-25 02:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.01$25.00
08-25 02:34Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.5394423792$100.00
08-07 01:19Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.6699999998$250.00
08-03 21:21Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?BUY0.8355964069$100.00
08-03 21:19Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2699999993$200.00
08-03 21:17Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.540227288$100.00
06-03 02:11Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.9367658063$200.00
06-03 02:11Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1797124573$50.00
05-12 15:15Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0873897551$118.26
05-12 15:05Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2529209429$100.00