PolyBot

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Traders

LewisL

0x9de449bedb07fe65f0d5f11e63b46a26e3aee101

Realised P&L
$-274.08
Volume
$52.0k
Markets traded
812
Open portfolio
$14.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded812
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? · Yes0.4101.000$5.00+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? · Yes0.5201.000$5.00+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28? · Yes0.3900.375$1.88−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29? · Yes0.3600.355$1.77−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28? · Yes0.2700.265$1.32−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.2100.001$0.00−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 9? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on February 24? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 10? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 19? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on February 23? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on February 16? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 7? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 14? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:31Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.48$2.40
09-26 15:31Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26?BUY0.36$1.80
09-26 14:34Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.36$1.80
09-26 13:40Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.24$1.20
09-26 13:40Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?BUY0.24$1.20
09-24 17:36Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsSELL0.497$2.48
09-24 17:35Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.498$2.49
02-22 21:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 23?BUY0.003$0.09
02-22 21:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on February 23?BUY0.001$0.33
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be 80°F or higher on February 23?BUY0.003$0.07
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 23?BUY0.002$0.20
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 23?BUY0.002$0.67
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 23?BUY0.001$0.33
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 23?BUY0.003$0.01
02-22 21:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 23?BUY0.003$0.01