LewisL
0x9de449bedb07fe65f0d5f11e63b46a26e3aee101
- Realised P&L
- $-274.08
- Volume
- $52.0k
- Markets traded
- 812
- Open portfolio
- $14.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded812
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.64at 0.040Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?
- +$24.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on February 9?
- +$24.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
- +$24.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 9?
- +$22.37at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-26 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-26 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-26 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 17:36 | Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.497 | $2.48 |
| 09-24 17:35 | Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.498 | $2.49 |
| 02-22 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 23? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 02-22 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on February 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 80°F or higher on February 23? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 23? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 23? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 23? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 02-22 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 23? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |