campbelldan
0x9de1d354690599878330a2f16b632ffe1d2e3b11
- Realised P&L
- $84.48
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $16.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.380 | $7.74 | +$3.26 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers | 0.250 | 0.255 | $5.47 | +$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.805 | $2.93 | −$0.02 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.658 | 0.044 | $0.32 | −$4.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.67at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4PM ET
- +$17.06at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 10?
- +$17.00at 0.331Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$15.90at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?
- +$15.71at 0.582Broncos vs. Chiefs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999643 | $2.95 |
| 09-26 14:05 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.25 | $5.36 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6579999861 | $4.73 |
| 09-21 05:49 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.32 | $8.13 |
| 09-18 08:00 | Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.2199999931 | $4.48 |
| 09-18 07:57 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | BUY | 0.2599999944 | $2.80 |
| 09-16 14:36 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4699999268 | $2.12 |
| 09-16 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.389999994 | $10.37 |
| 09-13 12:34 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.3799999745 | $3.88 |
| 09-13 12:31 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.569999992 | $21.43 |
| 09-09 09:14 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.5899999203 | $2.37 |
| 09-09 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.6299999947 | $29.99 |
| 09-05 19:35 | Florida International vs. South Florida | BUY | 0.8499999975 | $17.12 |
| 09-02 12:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 2? | BUY | 0.8299999433 | $12.16 |
| 08-31 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.4099999938 | $18.44 |