ryuukai
0x9de09feb8bdb3b9464c6ebb1816bd5afed9d5a4b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $925.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.185 | $925.00 | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.517Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-9.0kat 0.695Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 07:44 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.61 | $942.60 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5058257452 | $1.3k |
| 08-06 18:59 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.6946391383 | $9.0k |