0x9DDD9e66Fd4Bf841CB5F943Bbc6C0D708F4d5Ca4-1772186433310
0x9ddd9e66fd4bf841cb5f943bbc6c0d708f4d5ca4
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $207.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $733.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.074Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$939.24at 0.175Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$910.80at 0.047Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$701.63at 0.072Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$487.64at 0.110Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 10:08 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2369396949 | $23.56 |
| 09-11 09:07 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 09-10 10:43 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 09-01 14:50 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-01 14:50 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-23 08:55 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999971 | $47.00 |
| 08-21 00:32 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.0311100759 | $47.08 |
| 08-20 10:41 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.0409669622 | $62.00 |
| 08-20 10:41 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.3073 | $61.46 |
| 08-20 05:22 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3099999944 | $24.00 |
| 08-17 14:06 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-17 10:53 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $7.58 |
| 08-17 06:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $23.75 |
| 08-17 05:15 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 14:49 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |