0x9DDD9e66Fd4Bf841CB5F943Bbc6C0D708F4d5Ca4-1772186433310
0x9ddd9e66fd4bf841cb5f943bbc6c0d708f4d5ca4
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $235.3k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $918.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.074Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$939.24at 0.175Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$910.80at 0.047Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$701.63at 0.072Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$487.64at 0.110Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-30 08:05 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.0080164533 | $6.78 |
| 10-29 12:12 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2348244288 | $8.30 |
| 10-28 22:41 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.0109733906 | $35.11 |
| 10-28 17:47 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.31 |
| 10-28 17:47 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.03 |
| 10-28 15:56 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2549962615 | $37.90 |
| 10-25 22:55 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.0221637511 | $11.06 |
| 10-17 18:10 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.38 |
| 10-17 18:09 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SELL | 0.0908548226 | $12.75 |
| 10-17 18:09 | FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31? | SELL | 0.005171833 | $2.58 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.6765386739 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 09:34 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.0686427875 | $14.20 |
| 10-05 09:34 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $14.20 |