PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9DDD9e66Fd4Bf841CB5F943Bbc6C0D708F4d5Ca4-1772186433310

0x9ddd9e66fd4bf841cb5f943bbc6c0d708f4d5ca4

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$235.3k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$918.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1810.315$630.00+$267.70
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2240.295$212.99+$51.18
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.280$56.00+$2.00
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1500.175$17.50+$2.50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.017$1.79−$2.21
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$69.76
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$23.86
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$60.94
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$101.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$68.54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$12.50
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$149.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$69.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.002$0.40
11-01 17:48Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.26$26.00
10-30 08:05Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.0080164533$6.78
10-29 12:12Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2348244288$8.30
10-28 22:41Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.0109733906$35.11
10-28 17:47Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.012$2.31
10-28 17:47Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$40.03
10-28 15:56Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2549962615$37.90
10-25 22:55Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.0221637511$11.06
10-17 18:10Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$15.38
10-17 18:09Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?SELL0.0908548226$12.75
10-17 18:09FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?SELL0.005171833$2.58
10-09 13:20Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.6765386739$50.00
10-05 09:34Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.0686427875$14.20
10-05 09:34Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.04$14.20