PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9DDD9e66Fd4Bf841CB5F943Bbc6C0D708F4d5Ca4-1772186433310

0x9ddd9e66fd4bf841cb5f943bbc6c0d708f4d5ca4

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$207.7k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$733.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3290.245$458.37$156.71
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0990.055$275.00$217.98
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$69.76
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$60.94
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$68.54
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$149.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$69.58
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.99
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$19.23
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$9.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.50
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 10:08Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.2369396949$23.56
09-11 09:07Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.09$45.00
09-10 10:43Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1$40.00
09-01 14:50Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.27$27.00
09-01 14:50Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.08$8.00
08-23 08:55Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.2799999971$47.00
08-21 00:32Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.0311100759$47.08
08-20 10:41Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.0409669622$62.00
08-20 10:41Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.3073$61.46
08-20 05:22Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3099999944$24.00
08-17 14:06Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.14$1.40
08-17 10:53Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.026$7.58
08-17 06:25Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.05$23.75
08-17 05:15Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.2999999982$100.00
08-11 14:49Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.29$29.00