0x9dD92C424CF3e605E12B8eC8AF65Fd301E9e7107-1769011668998
0x9dd92c424cf3e605e12b8ec8af65fd301e9e7107
- Realised P&L
- $-41.05
- Volume
- $320.23
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.62at 0.520US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.320Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
- +$0.69at 0.590Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 15)
- +$0.69at 0.590Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (March 22)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 19:01 | Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 19:01 | Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 09:49 | Will Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12) | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 09:49 | Will Trump say "Potato" this week? (April 12) | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 09:49 | Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12) | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 09:49 | Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" this week? (April 12) | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 16:46 | Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 16:46 | Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 16:45 | Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 16:45 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 16:45 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 08:32 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 5) | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 18:00 | Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 18:00 | Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 17:22 | Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |