AURION2026
0x9dd38df134b10f1c27a7e139f996f3ad5465b441
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $106.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,939
- Open portfolio
- $592.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,939
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.42at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6?
- +$33.54at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 23?
- +$25.06at 0.816Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12?
- +$23.09at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?
- +$20.56at 0.951Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9671604161 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9727841169 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9791484831 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9657028725 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9701924786 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9588195443 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.938726575 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.91886217 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.9051180252 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.9491883117 | $58.47 |
| 09-28 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.9595714286 | $67.17 |
| 09-28 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.961 | $33.63 |
| 09-28 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.7 | $8.15 |
| 09-28 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.71 |
| 09-28 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.96677 | $96.68 |