athenasbox
0x9dc94ed347896401ce1045783464abdc597967bc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.62
- Volume
- $451.64
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $6.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.240 | $5.16 | +$1.29 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.152 | $1.65 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.33at 0.699Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?
- +$-1.29at 0.012Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:43 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.19 |
| 09-30 22:12 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.37 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.16 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.6899999935 | $8.51 |
| 09-17 22:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.87 |
| 09-17 21:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.161999987 | $1.75 |