0x9dc753041e2Bc08438c23166Bc84a92a6BA08c0a-1729394197905
0x9dc753041e2bc08438c23166bc84a92a6ba08c0a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $92.2k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $965.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.61at 0.589Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$311.65at 0.514Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$254.25at 0.320MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$206.67at 0.434Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$189.80at 0.612Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 19:26 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 19:26 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 19:22 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 19:16 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2589285067 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 19:16 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3007664492 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 19:14 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.291262061 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 19:13 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 19:13 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 15:38 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 15:36 | Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999931 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 15:36 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 15:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 15:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 15:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2473288484 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 15:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |