PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SpreadCtrl

0x9dc50d2b311a77f565e615612289a03c85e4d8b9

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$104.3k
Markets traded
425
Open portfolio
$73.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded425
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Derrick Henry have 16.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4100.200$13.91−$14.61
Will Sunderland record the most clean sheets in the UEL league phase? · No0.9360.503$10.06−$8.66
Will Gorka Guruzeta win the 2026-27 LaLiga Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0230.460$8.27+$7.86
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes finish first in UECL league phase? · Yes0.0130.391$7.03+$6.79
Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December? · Yes0.3900.505$5.48+$1.25
Will Thun finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.2350.240$4.80+$0.10
Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.1200.040$2.37−$4.83
Will Jacoby Brissett finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.1600.028$1.65−$7.95
Will Geno Smith finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.1600.026$1.56−$8.04
Will Liverpool score the most goals in the UCL league phase? · Yes0.0490.080$1.44+$0.55
Will Illinois have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.0500.067$1.34+$0.34
Will Curacao win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? · Yes0.0190.071$1.29+$0.94
Will zekken play for Team Envy in 2027? · Yes0.0090.046$0.92+$0.74
Will Stole Dimitrievski (Valencia) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.0110.042$0.84+$0.62
Will Bukayo Saka win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.0800.040$0.79−$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 05:20Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 3?SELL0.43$8.60
11-02 05:20Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on November 3?SELL0.5$10.00
11-02 05:01Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3?SELL0.18$3.60
11-02 04:47Will Derrick Henry have 16.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.33$6.60
11-02 04:45Will Derrick Henry have 16.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.3801639344$23.19
11-01 22:55Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 3?SELL0.0325$0.65
11-01 18:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 3?SELL0.3525$7.05
11-01 18:24Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 3?SELL0.1525$3.05
11-01 17:50Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 3?SELL0.09$1.76
11-01 17:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 3?SELL0.26$5.20
11-01 16:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 3?SELL0.67$13.40
11-01 16:42Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 3?SELL0.51$10.20
11-01 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3?SELL0.24$4.80
11-01 04:50Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.63$60.47
11-01 04:34Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.625$25.00