SpreadCtrl
0x9dc50d2b311a77f565e615612289a03c85e4d8b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.31
- Volume
- $110.10
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.660 | $13.20 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.46at 0.200Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
- +$-0.01at 0.991Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$-1.51at 0.230Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:34 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 21:34 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.989 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |