Babayaga369
0x9db14869f07256b50b52bd5543fe83bfd4b16b0d
- Realised P&L
- $-28.94
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $24.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.024 | $24.41 | −$74.78 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Down | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.49 |
| Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.23at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$11.91at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$11.33at 0.177Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$8.05at 0.557Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$7.22at 0.167Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0954792813 | $99.19 |
| 10-07 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2545299802 | $89.49 |
| 10-07 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $96.56 |
| 10-07 00:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $78.17 |
| 06-11 05:05 | Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? | SELL | 0.3415202189 | $11.23 |
| 06-11 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999965 | $25.00 |
| 06-11 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 01:12 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.69 | $14.99 |
| 06-10 23:56 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 23:56 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 23:56 | Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? | BUY | 0.6079754405 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6667011573 | $25.00 |