0x9dad6e3f0114f0b763a4933d9a38f20ddbcb7fac
- Realised P&L
- $-104.87
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $177.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.005 | $139.79 | −$210.19 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.015 | $22.34 | −$13.10 |
| Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.017 | $9.03 | −$0.54 |
| Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.035 | $6.65 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.45at 0.532Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros
- +$48.36at 0.584Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 20:38 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.015 | $225.00 |
| 09-06 16:52 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5 | $70.00 |
| 09-06 16:51 | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5499999979 | $64.00 |
| 09-06 16:50 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.023 | $35.44 |
| 09-06 16:49 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.018 | $7.83 |
| 09-06 16:45 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0229999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 16:44 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $125.00 |
| 09-06 16:43 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0414210526 | $7.87 |
| 09-06 16:42 | Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0208571429 | $1.46 |
| 09-06 16:41 | Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.017 | $8.11 |